Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.130568 0.194429 0.268426 0.358041 0.461509 0.575439 0.708726
2025-11-30 0.051825 0.124892 0.227295 0.367293 0.543436 0.749927 1.003554
2025-12-07 0.018493 0.083695 0.195045 0.362743 0.586462 0.858974 1.203049
2025-12-14 0.002621 0.050503 0.160714 0.345682 0.606909 0.936231 1.361881
2025-12-21 0.000169 0.041510 0.161162 0.374833 0.685537 1.083785 1.604154
2025-12-28 NaN 0.034710 0.162716 0.404046 0.763391 1.230008 1.844824
2026-01-04 NaN 0.026180 0.156822 0.419509 0.821039 1.349721 2.052434
2026-01-11 NaN 0.024417 0.165895 0.459212 0.912863 1.513811 2.315598
2026-01-18 NaN 0.020915 0.168920 0.488126 0.989049 1.657538 2.553502
2026-01-25 NaN 0.013983 0.158269 0.491758 1.027785 1.751658 2.728868
2026-02-01 NaN 0.005015 0.129775 0.459123 1.010707 1.770274 2.807634
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000453 0.100630 0.418992 0.978688 1.766393 2.855792
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.085603 0.405501 0.988605 1.821985 2.984584
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.081185 0.414496 1.034405 1.927752 3.179736
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.071765 0.409868 1.057168 2.000841 3.331739
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.058180 0.391591 1.056000 2.039597 3.438281
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.063264 0.422721 1.137800 2.195729 3.699597
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.068314 0.453828 1.219694 2.352176 3.961584
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.068040 0.470271 1.276821 2.473616 4.177563
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.077013 0.512412 1.377697 2.657366 4.476079
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.081813 0.543039 1.459131 2.813648 4.738520
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.076985 0.546883 1.495120 2.905466 4.915957
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.059806 0.512317 1.464146 2.901130 4.965648